← Eredivisie 2014-15 · Sun, Mar 1, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 52% | 50% | 1.86 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 3.86 | fair |
| FC Utrecht win | 22% | 25% | 4.36 | value: +8% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Utrecht | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 243.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1517.50 | 1726.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.59 | -34.26 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.77 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| league points | 28.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.83 |
| state index | -0.28 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |