← Eredivisie 2014-15 · Sun, Feb 15, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle win | 62% | 66% | 1.57 | value: +3% |
| Draw | 21% | 21% | 4.62 | fair |
| Go Ahead Eagles win | 17% | 13% | 5.76 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | Go Ahead Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 624.00 | 959.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1586.68 | 1445.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.50 | -15.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.69 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| league points | 39.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 0.91 |
| state index | 0.59 | -0.83 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |