← Eredivisie 2013-14 · Sun, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 86% | 82% | 1.14 | fair |
| Draw | 10% | 13% | 9.95 | value: +27% |
| Waalwijk win | 5% | 5% | 20.73 | value: +8% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Waalwijk |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1010.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1722.83 | 1456.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.38 | -13.68 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.25 |
| league points | 57.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 16.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.00 |
| state index | 1.21 | -0.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |