← Eredivisie 2013-14 · Fri, Apr 4, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Groningen win | 38% | 34% | 2.58 | fair |
| PEC Zwolle win | 36% | 38% | 2.74 | value: +3% |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 3.67 | value: +3% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | FC Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 307.00 | 307.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1510.25 | 1523.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.02 | 14.67 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 38.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.96 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.30 |
| state index | -0.19 | -0.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |