← Eredivisie 2013-14 · Wed, Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Twente '65 win | 79% | 73% | 1.24 | fair |
| Draw | 14% | 18% | 6.89 | value: +27% |
| ADO Den Haag win | 7% | 9% | 14.50 | value: +26% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Twente '65 | ADO Den Haag |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 822.00 | 60.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1701.37 | 1457.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.96 | 21.41 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 52.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 1.14 |
| state index | 0.49 | -0.04 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |