← Eredivisie 2013-14 · Wed, Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Go Ahead Eagles win | 49% | 48% | 1.99 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 3.67 | fair |
| NAC Breda win | 24% | 24% | 4.00 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Go Ahead Eagles | NAC Breda |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 640.00 | 5023.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1474.07 | 1503.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.55 | 1.36 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| league points | 31.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.96 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.17 |
| state index | -0.60 | -0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |