← Eredivisie 2013-14 · Sun, Mar 30, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 77% | 74% | 1.26 | fair |
| Draw | 15% | 17% | 6.68 | value: +13% |
| Go Ahead Eagles win | 8% | 9% | 11.96 | value: +7% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Go Ahead Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1003.00 | 637.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1710.77 | 1480.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.87 | -21.31 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| league points | 51.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 13.96 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.11 |
| state index | 0.92 | -0.62 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |