← Eredivisie 2013-14 · Sun, Mar 30, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag win | 56% | 47% | 1.74 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 28% | 3.85 | value: +7% |
| PEC Zwolle win | 19% | 25% | 5.25 | value: +31% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | ADO Den Haag | PEC Zwolle |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 57.00 | 302.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1458.04 | 1510.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.83 | -12.55 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 32.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 14.96 | 6.96 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.28 |
| state index | 0.29 | -0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |