← Eredivisie 2013-14 · Sat, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV win | 77% | 78% | 1.27 | fair |
| Draw | 15% | 15% | 6.59 | fair |
| FC Groningen win | 8% | 7% | 11.95 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | PSV | FC Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 301.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1706.81 | 1507.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.23 | -9.84 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| league points | 53.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.83 | 1.24 |
| state index | 1.35 | -0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.20 |