← Eredivisie 2013-14 · Sun, Mar 16, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle win | 42% | 41% | 2.32 | fair |
| Go Ahead Eagles win | 31% | 28% | 3.15 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 31% | 3.61 | value: +12% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | Go Ahead Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 288.00 | 623.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1504.85 | 1492.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.71 | 1.28 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| league points | 34.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.15 |
| state index | -0.62 | -0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |