← Eredivisie 2013-14 · Fri, Mar 14, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win | 64% | 66% | 1.53 | fair |
| Draw | 21% | 20% | 4.72 | fair |
| Waalwijk win | 16% | 14% | 6.24 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | Waalwijk |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 378.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1517.29 | 1456.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.00 | -22.17 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 31.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.00 |
| state index | 0.41 | -0.81 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |