← Eredivisie 2013-14 · Sun, Mar 9, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 45% | 47% | 2.14 | fair |
| FC Groningen win | 28% | 27% | 3.43 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 3.72 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Groningen | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 281.00 | 982.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1507.09 | 1693.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.63 | 0.77 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.65 |
| league points | 33.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.73 |
| state index | -0.26 | 0.60 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |