← Eredivisie 2013-14 · Sun, Mar 9, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Ajax win | 79% | 86% | 1.24 | value: +7% |
| Draw | 14% | 10% | 6.78 | fair |
| SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win | 7% | 4% | 14.11 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AFC Ajax | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2808.00 | 373.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1824.99 | 1509.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.09 | 17.84 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| league points | 57.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 14.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.19 | 1.15 |
| state index | 1.66 | -0.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |