← Eredivisie 2013-14 · Sat, Mar 1, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitesse win | 75% | 78% | 1.30 | fair |
| Draw | 15% | 15% | 6.41 | fair |
| Roda JC win | 10% | 7% | 10.00 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Vitesse | Roda JC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 273.00 | 90.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1654.58 | 1422.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.65 | -45.73 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| league points | 46.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.84 | 0.88 |
| state index | 0.21 | -1.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |