← Eredivisie 2013-14 · Sun, Feb 23, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Twente '65 win | 49% | 51% | 1.99 | fair |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 26% | 26% | 3.80 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 23% | 3.86 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Twente '65 | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 784.00 | 968.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1727.33 | 1698.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.51 | -10.85 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.65 |
| league points | 47.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.96 | 1.83 |
| state index | 1.09 | 0.68 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.00 |