← Eredivisie 2013-14 · Sat, Feb 22, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win | 57% | 61% | 1.72 | value: +5% |
| Draw | 25% | 23% | 3.92 | fair |
| Roda JC win | 18% | 16% | 5.31 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | Roda JC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 358.00 | 83.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1501.24 | 1429.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.22 | -28.32 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| league points | 26.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 0.92 |
| state index | 0.15 | -1.05 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |