← Eredivisie 2013-14 · Sun, Feb 16, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Groningen win | 57% | 57% | 1.72 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 23% | 4.13 | fair |
| Go Ahead Eagles win | 20% | 20% | 4.94 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Groningen | Go Ahead Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 260.00 | 595.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1508.92 | 1501.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.84 | -9.29 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 29.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.22 |
| state index | -0.73 | -0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |