← Eredivisie 2012-13 · Sun, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 64% | 55% | 1.52 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 27% | 4.49 | value: +21% |
| Vitesse win | 14% | 18% | 6.78 | value: +23% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 660.00 | 294.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1723.97 | 1679.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.01 | 35.31 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.45 |
| league points | 60.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 2.03 |
| state index | 0.83 | 1.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |