← Eredivisie 2012-13 · Sun, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Utrecht win | 62% | 63% | 1.58 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 21% | 4.38 | fair |
| ADO Den Haag win | 16% | 16% | 6.04 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Utrecht | ADO Den Haag |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 646.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1581.32 | 1483.34 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.90 | -12.56 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 48.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.96 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.29 |
| state index | 0.53 | -0.58 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |