← Eredivisie 2012-13 · Sat, Mar 30, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 42% | 40% | 2.34 | fair |
| SC Heerenveen win | 31% | 32% | 3.17 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 3.54 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Heerenveen | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1003.00 | 638.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1569.13 | 1725.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 44.17 | 18.32 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| league points | 35.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 13.00 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 2.07 |
| state index | 0.77 | 1.09 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |