← Eredivisie 2012-13 · Fri, Mar 15, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEC Zwolle win | 47% | 53% | 2.08 | value: +9% |
| Draw | 28% | 25% | 3.55 | fair |
| Roda JC win | 26% | 23% | 3.83 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | PEC Zwolle | Roda JC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1169.00 | 2814.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1476.65 | 1483.56 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.58 | 5.89 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.55 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| league points | 26.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.96 |
| state index | -0.09 | -0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |