← Eredivisie 2012-13 · Sun, Mar 10, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 58% | 54% | 1.68 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 28% | 4.20 | value: +19% |
| Roda JC win | 19% | 18% | 5.20 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Roda JC | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2809.00 | 618.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1489.11 | 1715.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.49 | 19.12 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| league points | 25.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| state index | 0.06 | 1.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |