← Eredivisie 2012-13 · Sun, Feb 24, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Utrecht win | 54% | 58% | 1.82 | value: +5% |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 3.93 | fair |
| Roda JC win | 22% | 18% | 4.51 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Utrecht | Roda JC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 2795.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1578.42 | 1486.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.97 | 24.99 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 39.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 0.96 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |