← Eredivisie 2012-13 · Sat, Feb 23, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Groningen win | 48% | 52% | 2.04 | value: +6% |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | 3.63 | fair |
| PEC Zwolle win | 25% | 23% | 3.84 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Groningen | PEC Zwolle |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 3798.00 | 1149.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1454.44 | 1483.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.18 | 29.85 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| league points | 26.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| state index | -0.34 | 0.07 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |