← Eredivisie 2011-12 · Sun, May 6, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 55% | 60% | 1.67 | fair |
| SC Heerenveen win | 24% | 22% | 4.20 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 18% | 4.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Heerenveen | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 675.00 | 310.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1646.09 | 1687.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 23.61 | 22.92 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.78 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.50 |
| league points | 64.00 | 67.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.94 | 2.03 |
| state index | 0.71 | 1.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |