← Eredivisie 2011-12 · Wed, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waalwijk win | 47% | 46% | 2.00 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 3.50 | fair |
| Roda JC win | 26% | 27% | 3.60 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Waalwijk | Roda JC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 2497.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1457.65 | 1555.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.54 | 14.11 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 42.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| state index | -0.04 | 0.12 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |