← Eredivisie 2011-12 · Sun, Apr 22, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 58% | 61% | 1.60 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | 4.20 | fair |
| ADO Den Haag win | 19% | 16% | 5.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | ADO Den Haag | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 296.00 | 296.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1501.79 | 1689.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.73 | 35.56 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.50 |
| league points | 32.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.93 |
| state index | -0.18 | 1.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |