← Eredivisie 2011-12 · Sun, Mar 18, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Twente '65 win | 58% | 60% | 1.62 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 24% | 4.20 | fair |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 19% | 16% | 5.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Twente '65 | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 77.00 | 261.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1756.18 | 1629.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.33 | -4.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.95 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 2.10 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| league points | 48.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| state index | 1.03 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |