← Eredivisie 2011-12 · Sun, Mar 4, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 64% | 71% | 1.44 | fair |
| Draw | 21% | 18% | 4.50 | fair |
| FC Groningen win | 15% | 11% | 6.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feyenoord Rotterdam | FC Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 247.00 | 3442.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1652.14 | 1555.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.44 | -52.42 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| league points | 41.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.78 | 1.39 |
| state index | 0.96 | -0.79 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |