← Eredivisie 2010-11 · Sun, May 15, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV win | 53% | 64% | 1.73 | value: +10% |
| Draw | 25% | 18% | 3.60 | fair |
| FC Groningen win | 21% | 18% | 4.33 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Groningen | PSV |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 3148.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1596.51 | 1772.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.86 | -29.16 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| league points | 56.00 | 68.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| season ppg | 1.70 | 2.06 |
| state index | 0.59 | 0.67 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |