← Eredivisie 2010-11 · Sun, Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Groningen win | 53% | 54% | 1.83 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 3.60 | fair |
| NEC win | 21% | 22% | 4.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Groningen | NEC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 3127.00 | 524.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1569.72 | 1512.62 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.12 | 13.08 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.07 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| league points | 50.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.26 |
| state index | -0.08 | 0.07 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |