← Eredivisie 2010-11 · Fri, Apr 22, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Twente '65 win | 45% | 63% | 2.10 | value: +32% ⚠ |
| ADO Den Haag win | 29% | 25% | 3.40 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 13% | 3.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | ADO Den Haag | FC Twente '65 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 325.00 | 325.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1541.16 | 1760.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.84 | 4.44 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.45 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| league points | 54.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 2.10 |
| state index | 0.36 | 0.99 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |