← Eredivisie 2010-11 · Sun, Mar 20, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roda JC win | 43% | 43% | 2.20 | fair |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 30% | 27% | 3.10 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 30% | 3.40 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Roda JC | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 2088.00 | 627.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1578.87 | 1599.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.35 | 44.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| league points | 41.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.26 |
| state index | 0.31 | 0.83 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |