← Eredivisie 2010-11 · Fri, Mar 11, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Utrecht win | 55% | 62% | 1.67 | value: +4% |
| Draw | 24% | 19% | 3.90 | fair |
| FC Groningen win | 21% | 18% | 4.75 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Utrecht | FC Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 3083.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1569.31 | 1556.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.64 | -65.99 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 2.01 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| league points | 38.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.69 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.72 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |