← Eredivisie 2010-11 · Sun, Mar 6, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Heerenveen win | 48% | 50% | 1.91 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 24% | 3.60 | fair |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 25% | 26% | 3.75 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Heerenveen | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 248.00 | 613.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1535.39 | 1583.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -32.14 | 23.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| league points | 34.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.12 |
| state index | -0.40 | 0.49 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |