← Eredivisie 2010-11 · Sun, Feb 20, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag win | 47% | 54% | 2.00 | value: +7% |
| Draw | 27% | 14% | 3.50 | fair |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 26% | 32% | 3.60 | value: +16% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | ADO Den Haag | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 264.00 | 599.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1544.52 | 1563.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 59.89 | -16.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.25 |
| league points | 41.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.78 | 1.04 |
| state index | 1.15 | -0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |