← Eredivisie 2010-11 · Sat, Feb 12, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Twente '65 win | 74% | 82% | 1.25 | fair |
| Draw | 17% | 14% | 5.50 | fair |
| Vitesse win | 10% | 4% | 11.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Twente '65 | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 256.00 | 4060.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1769.04 | 1449.49 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.98 | 9.98 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.83 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 47.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 2.14 | 1.00 |
| state index | 0.97 | -0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |