← Eredivisie 2009-10 · Sun, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 62% | 59% | 1.53 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 27% | 4.33 | value: +16% |
| SC Heerenveen win | 15% | 14% | 6.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feyenoord Rotterdam | SC Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 305.00 | 670.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1622.76 | 1499.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.14 | -4.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.42 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 60.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| season ppg | 1.82 | 1.12 |
| state index | 0.48 | -0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |