← Eredivisie 2009-10 · Sun, Feb 14, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Utrecht win | 36% | 42% | 2.60 | value: +10% |
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 35% | 33% | 2.70 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 25% | 3.25 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Utrecht | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 228.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1528.84 | 1614.23 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -35.04 | -5.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 32.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.91 |
| state index | -0.60 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |