← Eredivisie 2008-09 · Sun, May 10, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 61% | 62% | 1.55 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 21% | 3.75 | fair |
| Roda JC win | 15% | 18% | 7.00 | value: +23% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Roda JC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 313.00 | 1409.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1573.87 | 1425.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.04 | -18.01 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 45.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 0.82 |
| state index | 0.63 | -0.95 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.20 |