← Eredivisie 2008-09 · Sun, Apr 19, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Heerenveen win | 37% | 36% | 2.60 | fair |
| FC Utrecht win | 36% | 38% | 2.60 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | 3.40 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Utrecht | SC Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 292.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1514.73 | 1639.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.10 | -13.55 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 1.60 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.55 |
| league points | 39.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.93 |
| state index | -0.70 | 0.47 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |