← Eredivisie 2008-09 · Sun, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Heerenveen win | 68% | 73% | 1.33 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 18% | 4.75 | fair |
| Volendam win | 12% | 9% | 8.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Heerenveen | Volendam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 285.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1636.00 | 1437.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.56 | 29.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.15 |
| league points | 55.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 0.83 |
| state index | 0.81 | -0.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |