← Eredivisie 2008-09 · Sun, Mar 22, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volendam win | 37% | 31% | 2.50 | fair |
| FC Utrecht win | 36% | 40% | 2.50 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 29% | 3.30 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Volendam | FC Utrecht |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1424.14 | 1533.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.89 | -25.12 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 20.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.74 | 1.41 |
| state index | -0.43 | -0.41 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |