← Eredivisie 2008-09 · Sun, Mar 1, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 49% | 44% | 1.90 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 32% | 3.40 | value: +10% |
| Vitesse win | 24% | 24% | 3.80 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feyenoord Rotterdam | Vitesse |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 243.00 | 3347.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1528.98 | 1509.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.56 | 70.01 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 27.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.21 |
| state index | 0.11 | 0.68 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |