← Eredivisie 2008-09 · Sat, Feb 14, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Twente '65 win | 77% | 80% | 1.17 | fair |
| Draw | 16% | 14% | 6.00 | fair |
| Volendam win | 7% | 5% | 15.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Twente '65 | Volendam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 228.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1682.75 | 1413.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.25 | -9.07 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.15 |
| league points | 45.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 2.05 | 0.68 |
| state index | 0.93 | -0.72 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |