← Eredivisie 2008-09 · Sun, Feb 8, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 40% | 47% | 2.25 | value: +5% |
| FC Groningen win | 32% | 32% | 3.00 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 22% | 3.30 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Feyenoord Rotterdam | FC Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 222.00 | 2322.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1524.59 | 1569.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.09 | 23.31 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| league points | 23.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.71 |
| state index | 0.04 | 0.42 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |