← Eredivisie 2007-08 · Sun, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 49% | 56% | 1.83 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 18% | 3.50 | fair |
| Willem II Tilburg win | 24% | 27% | 3.75 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Willem II Tilburg | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 3939.00 | 317.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1419.33 | 1581.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.95 | 3.04 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| league points | 28.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.78 |
| state index | -0.66 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |