← Eredivisie 2007-08 · Sat, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Twente '65 win | 72% | 87% | 1.29 | value: +12% |
| Draw | 18% | 10% | 5.50 | fair |
| SBV Excelsior win | 10% | 3% | 10.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Twente '65 | SBV Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 644.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1641.41 | 1359.74 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 44.84 | -19.09 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| league points | 55.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.96 |
| season ppg | 1.77 | 0.84 |
| state index | 1.16 | -1.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |