← Eredivisie 2007-08 · Sun, Mar 23, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam win | 50% | 61% | 1.90 | value: +16% |
| Draw | 27% | 16% | 3.40 | fair |
| Sparta Rotterdam win | 22% | 23% | 4.20 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sparta Rotterdam | Feyenoord Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1727.00 | 296.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1421.00 | 1597.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.07 | -1.04 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| league points | 27.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.86 |
| state index | -0.36 | 0.41 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |