← Eredivisie 2007-08 · Sun, Feb 24, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Heerenveen win | 67% | 79% | 1.36 | value: +7% |
| Draw | 22% | 17% | 4.20 | fair |
| NEC win | 12% | 4% | 8.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | SC Heerenveen | NEC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1333.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1653.11 | 1461.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.21 | 32.19 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.25 |
| league points | 45.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 0.96 |
| state index | 1.24 | -0.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |